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think
15 小时
US jobs report heightens chances of an extended Fed pause
Another upside surprise on US jobs numbers will intensify the belief that Federal Reserve officials are under no pressure to ...
think
17 小时
THINK Ahead: Mixed inflation data
Core inflation (Thu): On the basis of the December flash CPI, we estimate that core inflation excluding food and energy ...
think
22 小时
FX Daily: Fiscal rigor pledge is calming sterling market
The market seems to be acknowledging the Treasury’s reiterated fiscal pledges and this has prevented the gilt and pound ...
think
1 天
The Commodities Feed: European gas weaker
Recent data from Russia’s Agricultural Regulator shows that the grain exports increased by 4mt YoY to 73.1mt for 2024. This ...
Opinion
think
1 天
Opinion
US Rates heading deeper into the Zone of Interest
We are getting to the optimal part of a zone where getting long will make glaring sense, where even impact carry flips ...
think
1 天
Rates Spark: Unless the print is sub-150k, no change in tone
To abort the rise in Treasury yields, we'd need to see a print below 150k. Else onwards and upwards. In the UK, gilt yields ...
think
1 天
Hungary’s budget ended 2024 on a positive note
Hungary's December deficit is a positive surprise, but may reflect a one-off rather than a structural improvement ...
think
1 天
Euro Credit Supply: Significant supply in 2024, more in 2025
Corporate supply ends at €390bn, expecting more in 2025 . Euro corporate supply closed the year at a rather considerable ...
think
1 天
US dollar credit supply: More Reverse Yankee and Yankee supply
The utility, healthcare, and TMT sectors led USD corporate supply in 2024, each surpassing $100bn. The oil & gas sector ...
think
1 天
A mixed picture of economic activity in Hungary
The incoming retail and industrial data for November was rather mixed, but reinforces our view that Hungary's technical ...
think
1 天
Weak automotive drags down Czech industry
Czech industrial production was down 2.7% in November from the same period a year earlier, missing market expectations ...
think
1 天
Monitoring Turkey: Prudent and data-dependent central bank
Due to a favourable inflation outlook, increasing signs of an economic slowdown, and early indications of an easing cycle, ...
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