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think
12 小时
US jobs report heightens chances of an extended Fed pause
Another upside surprise on US jobs numbers will intensify the belief that Federal Reserve officials are under no pressure to ...
think
19 小时
FX Daily: Fiscal rigor pledge is calming sterling market
The market seems to be acknowledging the Treasury’s reiterated fiscal pledges and this has prevented the gilt and pound ...
think
14 小时
THINK Ahead: Mixed inflation data
Core inflation (Thu): On the basis of the December flash CPI, we estimate that core inflation excluding food and energy ...
think
1 天
The Commodities Feed: European gas weaker
Recent data from Russia’s Agricultural Regulator shows that the grain exports increased by 4mt YoY to 73.1mt for 2024. This ...
think
1 天
Recent developments in the global economy
Last month’s main developments were centred on the policy outlook. The Politburo meeting and Central Economic Work Conference ...
think
1 天
Rates Spark: Unless the print is sub-150k, no change in tone
To abort the rise in Treasury yields, we'd need to see a print below 150k. Else onwards and upwards. In the UK, gilt yields ...
Opinion
think
1 天
Opinion
US Rates heading deeper into the Zone of Interest
We are getting to the optimal part of a zone where getting long will make glaring sense, where even impact carry flips ...
think
1 天
Hungary’s budget ended 2024 on a positive note
Hungary's December deficit is a positive surprise, but may reflect a one-off rather than a structural improvement ...
think
1 天
CO2 targets are the key question for European car makers at the start of 2025
The most important question for European car markets at the start of the year is whether the ambitious EU CO2 targets for ...
think
1 天
November rebound in German industry comes too late to avoid another quarter of stagnation
German industrial production increased by 1.5% in November, recovering from a 0.4% decline in October. However, industrial ...
think
1 天
Monitoring Turkey: Prudent and data-dependent central bank
Due to a favourable inflation outlook, increasing signs of an economic slowdown, and early indications of an easing cycle, ...
think
1 天
Euro Credit Supply: Significant supply in 2024, more in 2025
Corporate supply ends at €390bn, expecting more in 2025 . Euro corporate supply closed the year at a rather considerable ...
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