Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
2 天之前 · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 18 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 3 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 36 out of 100.
FiveThirtyEight Interactives | FiveThirtyEight
2023年2月2日 · Interactive graphics and data visualization from FiveThirtyEight
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 天之前 · Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.6% Trump 46.0% Oct. 16, 2024 leader Oct. 16, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.6. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added ...
National Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 天之前 · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
2 天之前 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page.
National : President: Republican primary : 2024 Polls
2 天之前 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
Donald Trump : Favorability Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 天之前 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
Kamala Harris : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight
2 天之前 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
Joe Biden : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight
3 天之前 · Campaign poll. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of ...
National : President: general election Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2023年1月10日 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.